Skip to main content

Inglis Sire Produce preview


Day 1 of The Championships at Randwick delivers four cracking Group 1s but it's the juvenile contest, the Sires Produce, that has taken the fancy of Joshua Reed this week. Read more of his work at @joshuareed22.

----------------------------------

Inglis Sires Produce
G1, 1400m, AU$1,000,000
Randwick, Saturday April 7
1430 local, 0530 BST

The Group One Inglis Sires Produce for 2018 features a decent field of 15, which gives the two year 
olds a chance to show their talents over the 1400m. Some of these runners are coming through the hotly contested Golden Slipper. 

Golden Slipper-placed Oohood is looking to come and break her maiden status here and will get every chance but faces stiff competition in fellow Golden Slipper competitors Long Leaf and Seabrook. One of Godolphin’s stars in Encryption looks to make his mark over the 1400m and tough runners Not A Single Cent, Tchaikovsky, Ringerdingding and Adana look to surprise their opposition with an ambush attack.

Before we plunge into the form of these runners, the weather looks fine and ready to go Saturday with nothing but sunshine predicted. The track is a Good 4 and is in prime condition for the big day which should give every runner a chance to exceed.


1.      Encryption– Has had a bit of a freshen up following his nice win in the Black Opal. Before that ran on very well in the Blue Diamond despite the pattern of the day being a leader’s track. May be able to make an impact but more of a place chance if any.

2.      Long Leaf – Was very impressive last start in the Golden Slipper running on from last to finish within 3.1 lengths of the winner. The blinkers were added that day which sharpened him up nicely, in which he wears again Saturday. Start before in the Blue Diamond his run was too poor to be true and after last start is a complete forget run. McEvoy back aboard and I rate him highly.

3.      Not A Single Cent – The Sires Produce winner from Melbourne heads up to Sydney for a crack at their version. Faces tougher opposition here and has drawn poorly. Looking elsewhere.

4.      Spin– Has failed to impress this campaign and has been a pain for punters. Last start he started favourite but failed to go with the eventual winner. Start before was no match for Written By or Sandbar. Others better.

5.     Bondi – Finally broke the maiden status last start at Newcastle. Rises in class and has a bad draw. Can’t recommend.

6.      Seberate – Ran well in the Sires Produce down in Melbourne despite being eventually run over by the winner. Start before that ran home well from the back in the Blue Diamond Prelude for Colts and Geldings. Possible place chance but looking at others.

7.      Tchaikovsky – Broke his maiden status last start in impressive fashion at Gosford. Start before that was very credible behind Aylmerton and Ef Troop in the Todman. Place chance at best.

8.      Outrageous – Meets stronger opposition. Doubtful.

9.      Ragged Rascal – Was only beaten 2.6L last week after weaving a path through from near the back. Ran on really well but I don’t think he will trouble these ones.

10. Ringerdingding – Although he is rising in grade, I thought his run in the Schweppervescence was highly credible holding his own right to the line. He is going to be super fit now and I think he has a chance to run into the top four.

11. Adana – Has drawn well here but I thought he did too much wrong last start to even warrant a chance here. Waller will have to work some of his magic for this guy to have a chance.

12. Affogato – Don’t think he will threaten them.

13. Oohood – She was the talk of the Slipper with his barnstorming second placing. She is one of the richest maidens running around at the moment and has every chance to break that status up in distance Saturday. Has been super all 5 starts and yet to finish outside the top three. Big Chance.

14. Seabrook – She ran down the outside with Long Leaf in the Slipper and boy was it eye catching. Before that she came from near the back to win nicely in the Sweet Embrace. Has every chance to finish with a win here.

15. El Dorado Dreaming – Looks too hard for her.

This is how I’ve rated them:
1.       Long Leaf
2.       Oohood
3.       Seabrook
4.       Ringerdingding

Betting Strategy:
Back Long Leaf on an each way basis. Playing the exotics, play Oohood and Seabrook in box trifectas and quinellas.

Good Luck and Good Punting!


Comments

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...
Post a Comment
Read more

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...
33 comments
Read more

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...
14 comments
Read more