Skip to main content

Salisbury Sun Apr 30 2yo race review

Salisbury 1500 Sun Apr 30
Fillies' Conditions Stakes
5f, Class 3, 1m0.26s
(slow by 0.46s)
Firm

Daddies Girl. Third run of career, unplaced as favourite six days earlier at Windsor. Had benefit of 5lb claimer here. Jumped well, contested lead. Wound up at halfway and wouldn't let anything past. Foughht on well.

Take Shelter. Strong second at Newmarket 11 days ago. Jumped well and went towards rail, causing mild interference behind. Sat three wide with cover. Challenged 2f out but unable to get past the winner.

Billesdon Brook. Feb 24. Checked at start, lost a few lengths, settled at tail. Made ground from halfway then given full bore approaching 1f pole. Claimed third on the line. Nice run, bred for further.

Campion. Poor debut at Wolverhampton when started 5/2 fav. Started well, settled just behind the pace. Made his run at 2f, only lost second and third in final 75yds.

Di Fede. Apr 20. Half-sister to seven winners. Little slow to begin, settled on rail 3-4L behind leader. Didn't emerge fo rher run until final furlong, ran on nicely final stages, not given a hard run.

Highland Mary. Mar 22, £36k yearling. Last into the gates, checked as soon as they jumped, lost a couple of lengths. Bit green, bouncing around back in the field. Just plugged on in the last furlong.

Hastenplace. Mar 23, £16k vendor buyback as yearling. Drawn widest of all, away well, then eased behind midfield. Bit green when making his run, didn't make up much ground but will learn from that. Just plugged on in final furlong.

Esther. May 11, £20k 2yo. Away well, straight to the lead. Pressured and eventually weakened from the furlong.

Dolly Dagger. Apr 8. Slow to begin, cost her early momentum and ended up out the back. Made some ground in final furlong.

Zain Smarts. Mar 29, £50k yearling (30k gns foal). Caused all sorts of chaos at the start when dived left after gates opened. Enough early pace to contest the lead but sitting three wide. Run ended at 2f and eased up in final furlong. Not as bad as margin may suggest.

KEY POINTS
Winner wasn't stopping, third horse flew home and Di Fede worked home nicely without telling everybody about it.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also,

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...