Skip to main content

Redcar Thurs May 4 2yo race review

Redcar 1400 May 4
Selling Stakes
5f, Class 6, 1m0.61s
(slow by 3.61s)
Good to Firm

A seller in the first week of May. Safe to say the ambition is over for all of these owners.

Popsi. Three previous starts, all in France, for regular Channel-hopping trainer Jo Hughes. Straight to the front, challenged at the 2f on the near side, beat off Placebo Effect but probably never saw the runner-up. Pushed out right to the line and just got there.

Our Little Pony. Apr 2, Only debutant in the field. Dam won from 7f-1m4f, also for Richard Fahey, and peaked at OR107. Slightly slow to begin, settled at the back, a bit unsure about what to do. Picked up at the 2f, made good progress and just missed.

Placebo Effect. Beaten almost 10L on debut at Beverley on Apr 19. Parked just behind the pace, challenged at the 2f, weakened late.

Society's Dream. Beaten 11L at Ripon on debut, Apr 20. Settled close to the pace in middle of track. Outpaced at 2f and battled on home.

Tie Em Up Tel. 23L behind the (very quick) Corinthia Knight on debut at Lingfield, Apr 11. Settled midfield, still doesn't seem to understand what's going on but kept on OK in latter stages. Big improvement.

Paulamey. A postcode behind at Windsor on debut, Apr 24. Settled in back half of field, hard ridden very early, outpaced at 2f, and soon faded.

Glen Valley. Third start, last again, and this time by even further in the weakest possible field. Tried cheekpieces this time, didn't help.

KEY POINTS
None.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...