Ascot May 3 2yo race review

Ascot 1400 May 3
Conditions Stakes
5f, Class 2, 59.76s (slow by 0.76s)
Good to Firm

Frozen Angel. Last of nine in terrible debut at Newmarket on April 18, when slowly away and rather green. Contested lead, took over at 2f and shot away. Impressive and high rating figures.

Corinthia Knight. Won first two starts (both AW) by a total of 10.5L. Tracked Frozen Angel, niggled along near 2f pole, and couldn't catch the winner. Not quite as good on turf or not a fan of the straight? Still a decent run, don't write him off just yet.

Inviolable Spirit. Nice win on debut at Redcar on Apr 10. Awkwardly away, made move at 2f but unable to go with the front two. Decent run but that's her level.

Global Tango. Mar 22, £42k yearling (€29k foal). Settled at rear, only four lengths from the lead. Hooked into centre of track at 2f to make his run, no acceleration, cue put back in the rack soon after.

Tangled. Feb 5, £67k yearling. Broke well, contested lead hard against the rail. Challenged approaching the 2f and soon weakened. Battled on OK considering class of the field, not terrible.

KEY POINTS
Great run from the winner, gave nothing else a chance. Runner-up may have needed the education running a straight line for first time.

Comments

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also,

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Sport is made for betting

Search This Blog