Skip to main content

Newmarket Tuesday April 18 2yo Novice Stakes race review

Newmarket 1420 EBF Novice Stakes
5f, Class 4, 59.89s (slow by 2.29s)
Good to Firm

Sound and Silence - Mar 29 foal. Brother to handy 2yo who won first two starts and peaked at OR100. Dam unraced half-sister to very useful G1 winner Ibn Khaldun. Bounced out of the gates, straight to the lead. Happy to let others take over 3f out so long as he had clear space ahead of him. Cruising while others were being pushed along at the 2f, urged when challenged at the furlong and found enough to win without being pushed too hard. Nice win.

Never Back Down - Feb 2, £100k yearling by precocious sire. Sat back, pushed along at halfway, came down middle of track and threatened to take control at 1f before the winner reacted.

Areen Faisal - Mar 29, €80k yearling, half-brother to six winners. Green early, dropped out to equal last after a furlong, ran home very nicely after penny dropped. Eye catching.

The Love Doctor - had th experience of running second in the better Brocklesby division but trainer David Evans still in a slump. Jumped well, sat just off the pace in the middle of the track, no cover. Taken on left and right when jockey went for it, just inside 2f, unable to keep up and lost third in closing strides.

Unfortunately - Mar 16, £24k yearling. Half-brother to Temple Stks winner Look Busy. Slightly erratic to begin, sat mid-pack as the field settled. Didn't have the turn of foot of the leaders, but held position well in closing stages.

Shobrom - Mar 10, £70k yearling. Well related, strong stable but second string today. Handy then moved up to lead at halfway. Challenged at the 2f, outpaced, start to drop out then held his ground.

Devils Cowboy - Apr 5, 60k gns yearling (40k gns foal). Up on the pace until halfway, gradually faded.

Contribute - Feb 26, 32k gns yearling. Dam unraced but well related. A little slow to begin, settled back and that's as close as he got.

Frozen Angel - Jan 27, £165k yearling. Slow to begin then a bit green as the field contracted around her.

KEY POINTS
Front two cleared out and looked smart on debut, as did Areen Faisal in third who took a while to get going. Longest-priced horse in the field was only 18/1 and ran last. Smart bunch, expect most of these to record a win this season.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...