Dundalk Fri Apr 21 2yo race review

Dundalk 1720 EBF Race
5f, 1m2.03s (slow by 4.33s)
Standard

Sirici. Trainer looking to make hay while the sun shined, third start in 22 days. Bounced out well, sat outside the leader. Last to go for home and always had them covered depsite needing a couple of cracks with the whip. Improved again, best RPR of the campaign.

Spirit Power. Second on debut to Sirici a fortnight previous, and expected to have more upside. Disputed lead on the inside, made the first move 2f out but unable to get head in front at any stage and never threatened the winner.

Mount Wellington. Feb 10, €475k yearling. Dam won a G3 on heavy track, peaked at OR103. Half-sister yet to show much. Backed from 8/11 to 1/2. Sat behind leaders, swung clear with cutaway rail entering the straight but found nothing, just plodded home.

Legatum. Third run of career. Showing some improvement but so are his rivals. Sat midfield, urged along approaching turn. Was never going to challenge the leaders but kept on OK. Better effort.

On Fleek. Feb 28. €1500 yearling. Very limited bunch of half-siblings, just one from five has been successful, although Ashton Rose did have good record on AW. Settled at rear, never got any closer.

KEY POINTS
Winner improved again with 7lb advantage for handy apprentice Killian Hennessy. Runner-up OK, favourite a bit disappointing but will surely be better for the experience.

Comments

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also,

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Sport is made for betting

Search This Blog