Skip to main content

Dundalk Apr 12 2yo race review

Dundalk 2yo Wed Apr 12

EBF Maiden
5f, 1m1.95s
(slow by 4.25s)
Standard

True Blue Moon, Feb 8. Laid in in the straight, jockey had to switch hands with the whip (only struck twice) to stop him interfering with the runner-up. Backed from 7/4 into 11/10 fav. Will be more to come from him.

Dali, Jan 31. Very early colt by Scat Daddy, so you'd expect him to be ready. Jumped right at the start then wasn't so keen to settle behind others. Poised behind the speed, made his run on the inside, just not quite as strong as the winner. Drifted from 6/5 out to 7/4. From the master stable, expect more next time.

In The Dip, Apr 27. Thought this one debuted OK and this time she went straight to the front. Jockey went too early at the 2f, got swamped late and finished third. Was no need to pull the whip so soon.

Mister Magic, Apr 8. Jumped nicely, led on the rail. Edged left at the 2f under pressure, no acceleration, left behind by others making their run, beaten almost 10L. Disappointing.

Feadan, Mar 12. Jumped well, sat close until the bend where copped minor interference and lost all momentum. Finished a long last. On debut, may have just been a confidence knock. Can't tell exactly how bad the interference was, awkward camera angle. Forget she went around.

KEY POINTS
Oldest two horses filled the exacta and will go on. Forget Feadan went around.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...