Skip to main content

Bath Fri Apr 21 2yo race review

Bath 1655 Fri Apr 21
EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes
5f11yds, Class 5, 1m2.57s (slow by 2.07s)
Firm

Mutanaaseq. 125k gns yearling. Half-brother to Ahlan Emarati who also won on debut here, peaked at OR 109 and as a 2yo, ran close to Kool Kompany, Highland Reel and Muhaarar. Missed start slightly and eased behind the field on settling. Came around the field at the 2f to make his run, didn't really get going until he changed lead leg and jockey switched hands with the whip, about 100yds out. Then lengthened stride nicely to claim leader right on the post. A few cracks of the whip but think there's still more to come.

Big Time Maybe. Apr 30. £44k yearling. Half-brother to smart Angelic Lord, peak rating OR108 and winner on debut for this yard. Jumped straight to the front, comfortable until the 2f when stoked up. Kicked 3L clear on the bend, took a decent one to nab him on the winning line. (Seemed an unusual choice from connections to go to Bath, but it was later revealed that this race would not attract a penalty for the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester if he won. Added 9/5)

Diamond Dougal. Apr 7. £22k yearling. First foal of unraced dam. Overraced briefly when restrained to settle behind the pace. Urged along at 2f, kept on one pace for third.

Uther Pendragon. Ran greenly at debut here a week ago. Pushed up from gate one to hold the rail, but then as soon as the leader crossed him at halfway, he was under hard riding. Switched on again when he dropped back into plenty of space, kept on OK last 100yds.

Give Em A Clump. In the market but slowly away and very green on recent debut. Jumped OK, sat outside leader. Under pressure at 2f, went backwards soon after.

Storm Doris. Feb 16. Unsold as foal on €3500 reserve, bought back by vendor for €800 at yearling sales, not a good sign. Dam peaked at OR65, three wins on AW. Settled midfield, outpaced at 3f and given a slap. Rider got busy and found nothing. Only passed a horse because Mirak stopped so sharply.

Mirek. Feb 20, €8k yearling. Dam placed twice from three starts (all in AW maidens). Bit erratic at start, didn't want to settle in pack so came around field and went forward. Challenged at 2f and then weakened very soon after. Dropped right out in last furlong.

KEY POINTS
Front two decent, third horse OK, don't look any further than that.

Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...
Post a Comment
Read more

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...
33 comments
Read more

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...
14 comments
Read more