Skip to main content

AFL Round 17 Sunday preview

Completely overlooked this in my inbox on Thursday, so sorry, you've missed most of the games. But there are still three left for Sunday.

As always, content courtesy of @AFLRatings.

---------------------

AFL Round 17 Sunday games preview by AFLRatings.com.au via @AFLRatings

Western Bulldogs 9-6 v Collingwood 8-7

The Bulldogs appeared to be quite fatigued in a loss to Geelong last week, clearly it was one of their poorer games of the season with a distinct inability to create running opportunities though the middle of the ground. Collingwood were lit up by the Bulldogs in the pre-season with this game style and will be coached accordingly this week to defend against it. The Bulldogs have scored only 71.3pts FOR from their last 4 games & Collingwood are without their 2 leading goal scorers this season, this could provide a low scoring game at Etihad Stadium. The Magpies have lost 4 straight games whilst being highly competitive against quality teams, there is every chance it could be 5 straight losses.

Melbourne 5-10 v St Kilda 5-10

This could be painful, games involving the Demons this year are starting to be very difficult viewing. Not a game punters should be heavily invested in anyway as the turnovers will drive you nutty, if the Saints can get an early break in the game it might start to open the scoring otherwise expect a low scoring game at the MCG on Sunday afternoon. Melbourne has scored 60pts from each of its last 3 games whilst the Saints have been hit & miss scoring fewer than 80pts in 7 of 15 games this season. There is nothing tangible to throw at you for this game, toss of a coin and cross your fingers maybe even click your heels.

West Coast 12-3 v Sydney 11-4

The Eagles have finally changed opinion of many punters & bookies as they are very short favourites against Sydney in the last game of Round 17, West Coast are ranking highly in most categories that deliver success in the AFL and a win over Sydney this week locks in a Top 4 spot with genuine possibilities to finish Top 2 & a Home Final in week 1. The Eagles are again hit by injuries to their defence, this may provide an opportunity for Franklin to turn it on if the Swans can break through the middle of the ground quick enough to get him the ball. The Eagles have been great this year, but there are no guarantees against a Sydney team coming off an embarrassing loss last week.

Comments

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...
Post a Comment
Read more

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...
33 comments
Read more

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...
14 comments
Read more