Premium cycling tips

With the start of the Tour de France just 36hrs away, it's time to point you in the right direction of a very shrewd cycling judge. For excellent in-depth previews of major cycling events, @wheelie1977 is the man to follow.

Alongside his regular stage and race outright previews, his latest extension into h2h betting has started with great results, +25% ROI for June from the Dauphine Libere and the Tour de Suisse. Check out his website for more details. All bets and previews are sent out to subscribers well before they go up on the website. Cycling markets are not deep in liquidity, it really is the early bird catches the worm. Thankfully there's regularly enough room for decent price moves before the value is completely gone. Tour de France previews across most markets are already out to Members but most won't go on site for the public for a few more days.

Anyone signing up to Wheeliebets and mentions this blog gets a 12.5% discount as well and first 10 get the remainder of the season for €47.50 which works out at about €14 per month until October 31st and includes

The Vuelta
World Championships
Classic races - Lombardy, San Sebastian, GP Quebec & Montreal
Stage races such as Eneco Tour

Cycling betting isn't just about the Tour de France these days, it's so much more!

*DISCLAIMER* I do receive this service at a considerable discount, but after backing Gerrans at 33/1 to win Stage 2 of the Tour Down Under this year, I'd still be in front even if I'd paid full price.

Comments

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...

Sport is made for betting

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