This great mares race from Rosehill proved so popular with my guest writers that two of them had a crack at it, making it a little tough to decide which one to use! My hand was forced by the different formats they used, so I'm not doubling up on text...
First up, the document version from Premium Punting, @premiumpunting - with a speed map and a comparison table, it's easier to let you read this in the original form, text on the blog can't do it justice.
And from Wally Gisik, @gisikus
--------------------
Coolmore Classic
Historical
Last 20 years 3yo Fillies 8x; 4yos 6x; 5yos 4x & 6yos 2x. All but 1 of the 3yo fillies were placed in the Surround Stakes (other filly Typhoon Tracy beat mares in the Frances Tressady). 3 fillies (Skating, Bollinger & Regal Cheer) won the Surround/ Coolmore double. Older mares through a variety of races though Chlorophyll & Ofcourseican both won the Liverpool City Cup.
Overall 15 of last 20 placed previous start (10 wins, 4x 2nd, 1x 3rd)
Candidates
Streama (Walter/Bowman) Two fair runs back from a spell, history not kind to higher weights here (unless you’re called Sunline). Won the Tea Rose at Trk/dist. Beaten 3L as a 3yo in this last year with 55kg. Can’t pot Bowman. $17
Red Tracer (Waller/Brown) Had 4 attempts at winning at F&M G1 level for 0 placings so bit stiff with 57.5kg for mine. Any rain assist. $15
Steps In Time (O’Shea/Rawiller) been flying over shorter in a carbon copy of last year’s autumn prep. Once again I have doubts over the distance and her ability to lead all the way here. Nash a plus but not keen $6
Pear Tart (Thompson/Reith) Her Queensland winter form of 2012 was looking a mirage, did improve last start but best suited heavy ground. $31
Appearance (Walter/Shinn) G1 Mares winner gets in with 55kg. Will be much better suited if the pressure goes on than she was last time out. Goes in the multis $15
Dear Demi (Conners/Cassidy) Iron filly having 18th career start, she tends to get better as her prep gets longer. Drawn midfield and history suits the filly. Must have in multis $6.50
Norzita (JB Cummings/McDonald) travelled like the winner last start before getting bloused by Flying Snitzel. G1 Flight winner she should be primed 3rd up for the master. Has a 2-0 record over Dear Demi with 6L between them in those 2 runs. Top Pick $5.50
Zurella (Ritchie/J Collett) Won her Aust debut at Flem in the spring but that seemed to bottom her for the rest of the prep. Fair return in G1 at Te Rapa last month. Looks a value hope. Specked $31 into $21
Star of Giselle (Ellerton/Dunn) Not sure what to do with Melbourne form, but she has been flying against her own sex with 2x G3 wins and a listed. $21 looks about right.
Driefontein (Waterhouse/Berry) Won her first four as a 2yo but has been unable to win during her ‘teen’ years. Fought on well in the Surround so fits the profile as Gai looks for win number 5 in the race. Could end up being the bunny but $17 worth thought
Flying Snitzel (Ryan/Williams) I’m not sure what to do after the flashing light win especially when she returns to Sydney where she appeared well covered by the fillies up here. In the end the betting says she is well found at $9 so I’ll probably pass
Bennetta (Begg/Boss) logical conclusion is that she hit the end of her prep last start…and who am I to stand on logic. Given those thoughts I would want better than the $8.50 on offer
Risk Aversion (Lakey/McMahon) scary runner as our only sighting down south was a close run 2nd on the heavy behind Red Tracer. What else to say. No shock if this was the target. $31
Irish Dream (Quinton/Clipperton) can safely put the line through this one. $101
Top Pick: Norzita. Would like to get $6+ though.
Savers: Some obvious tips behind her but I want some value so Appearance $15 running on late whilst Driefontein $17 could give a sight. I only looked at Sportsbet & Centrebet so you may get even better your fancy.
First up, the document version from Premium Punting, @premiumpunting - with a speed map and a comparison table, it's easier to let you read this in the original form, text on the blog can't do it justice.
And from Wally Gisik, @gisikus
--------------------
Coolmore Classic
Historical
Last 20 years 3yo Fillies 8x; 4yos 6x; 5yos 4x & 6yos 2x. All but 1 of the 3yo fillies were placed in the Surround Stakes (other filly Typhoon Tracy beat mares in the Frances Tressady). 3 fillies (Skating, Bollinger & Regal Cheer) won the Surround/ Coolmore double. Older mares through a variety of races though Chlorophyll & Ofcourseican both won the Liverpool City Cup.
Overall 15 of last 20 placed previous start (10 wins, 4x 2nd, 1x 3rd)
Candidates
Streama (Walter/Bowman) Two fair runs back from a spell, history not kind to higher weights here (unless you’re called Sunline). Won the Tea Rose at Trk/dist. Beaten 3L as a 3yo in this last year with 55kg. Can’t pot Bowman. $17
Red Tracer (Waller/Brown) Had 4 attempts at winning at F&M G1 level for 0 placings so bit stiff with 57.5kg for mine. Any rain assist. $15
Steps In Time (O’Shea/Rawiller) been flying over shorter in a carbon copy of last year’s autumn prep. Once again I have doubts over the distance and her ability to lead all the way here. Nash a plus but not keen $6
Pear Tart (Thompson/Reith) Her Queensland winter form of 2012 was looking a mirage, did improve last start but best suited heavy ground. $31
Appearance (Walter/Shinn) G1 Mares winner gets in with 55kg. Will be much better suited if the pressure goes on than she was last time out. Goes in the multis $15
Dear Demi (Conners/Cassidy) Iron filly having 18th career start, she tends to get better as her prep gets longer. Drawn midfield and history suits the filly. Must have in multis $6.50
Norzita (JB Cummings/McDonald) travelled like the winner last start before getting bloused by Flying Snitzel. G1 Flight winner she should be primed 3rd up for the master. Has a 2-0 record over Dear Demi with 6L between them in those 2 runs. Top Pick $5.50
Zurella (Ritchie/J Collett) Won her Aust debut at Flem in the spring but that seemed to bottom her for the rest of the prep. Fair return in G1 at Te Rapa last month. Looks a value hope. Specked $31 into $21
Star of Giselle (Ellerton/Dunn) Not sure what to do with Melbourne form, but she has been flying against her own sex with 2x G3 wins and a listed. $21 looks about right.
Driefontein (Waterhouse/Berry) Won her first four as a 2yo but has been unable to win during her ‘teen’ years. Fought on well in the Surround so fits the profile as Gai looks for win number 5 in the race. Could end up being the bunny but $17 worth thought
Flying Snitzel (Ryan/Williams) I’m not sure what to do after the flashing light win especially when she returns to Sydney where she appeared well covered by the fillies up here. In the end the betting says she is well found at $9 so I’ll probably pass
Bennetta (Begg/Boss) logical conclusion is that she hit the end of her prep last start…and who am I to stand on logic. Given those thoughts I would want better than the $8.50 on offer
Risk Aversion (Lakey/McMahon) scary runner as our only sighting down south was a close run 2nd on the heavy behind Red Tracer. What else to say. No shock if this was the target. $31
Irish Dream (Quinton/Clipperton) can safely put the line through this one. $101
Top Pick: Norzita. Would like to get $6+ though.
Savers: Some obvious tips behind her but I want some value so Appearance $15 running on late whilst Driefontein $17 could give a sight. I only looked at Sportsbet & Centrebet so you may get even better your fancy.
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