Skip to main content

Pinnacle - will it survive?

In terms of sportsbooks that bigger or smarter punters love to play at, Pinnacle is right up there - tight margins and willingness to take seriously big bets. None of this sorry sir, your business is not economical for us, you can have no more than £5 on (if you're even that lucky), which annoys with modern-day "bookmaking". Tennis punters in particular are really going to take a hit if the fallout from this weekend's events is serious.

In case you missed it, there was a big roundup of sportsbetting identities in New York this week....



The allegation from the Queens County District Attorney in New York is that the individuals involved were acting as agents for Pinnacle, a firm who had exited the US market back in 2007 after heavy attention from New York police. That they didn't exit the US market quite as completely as they told everyone is likely to have further implications on this case down the track.

Read the press release from the Queens County District Attorney here.

Pinnacle's statement in response was as expected, stating they weren't employees of the firm and thus it does not affect the business at all. Of course they weren't employees, they'd be agents if they were based in another country. But the link to the firm means they will again be under intense heat from various US investigative bureaus, and a big chunk of their US sports turnover will disappear. Pinnacle's business model relies on sharp action (move the prices according to who is betting on what, also known as 'playing heads' in other circles), high volume to match the low margins and the underclass known as arbitrageurs, middlers and scalpers who come in to balance up the book when heavy action on one selection moves the price on the other. Take away any or all of those options and Pinnacle's business model may have to change.

Pinnacle will also have problems with their licence in Alderney. After the Full Tilt Poker debacle, Alderney will need to play ball with the US so that licence is likely to be suspended if not torn up. The value in that licence is the avenue to advertise in the UK (Curacao is not a white-listed jurisdiction, but it's not as if they do much advertising in the UK anyway) and the option to switch operations quickly if they needed to get out of the Caribbean.

I think Pinnacle are too big and too versatile to disappear off the map - but when you are dealing with US authorities, never rule anything out....

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur...