Skip to main content

Tangle Teaser Top Novices' Hurdle, Grade II

Another of our previously successful guest bloggers return, Dan Kelly,@muffinmannhc. He was on fire during Cheltenham tipping Son of Flicka and Sir des Champs.

Tangle Teaser Top Novices' Hurdle, Grade II

I'm yet to be sold on the Supreme Hurdle form, and simply with Darlan and Prospect Wells taking such a chunk out of the market I have to look elsewhere.

Vulcanite has the talent, but it's difficult to pinpoint when he'll actually decide to show it. Captain Conan is the selection of Barry Geraghty but I can't seriously give him a chance, gifted the Tolworth and found out in mediocre company twice since, he is overlooked too. Right Step is a quirky sort, soured to end of his flat season and even though he won on his first start over timber, but that form leaves you with more questions than answers. However two runners have shown enough for me to think they will outrun their prices.

Oscara Dara was formerly with Alan Fleming and he looked a bumper horse of great potential. He cantered through an all weather bumper at Southwell, and when stepped up in class he was the meat in the sandwich between the then Champion Bumper Favourite, Persian Snow and a good Nicky Henderson sort in Mono Man at Ascot. Given his injury record, injured in Mar 09, missed 09/10 season due to tendon injury, it was no surprise he was given time to come to hand by Nicky, and when he arrived on the hurdling scene he didn't disappoint. Jumped well in main and held up off a moderate gallop I suggest you watch the closing stages of this race, as when David Bass went for him from second last, did he go. Unexposed and seemingly not devoid of pace he's of interest at a double figure price.

Leftfield pick for the places, but I can only be drawn in by the 100s quote on North Cape. He hurdled well on debut at Kempton and was given an easy introduction by Felix De Giles, he went off too fast at Newbury in November, and on his return late last month he improved on that run considerably to suggest that a win was just around the corner, but in Grade 2 company? Reason I am interested in his entry here is he's been allocated a mark of 122, I'd have him as a certainty to win a 0-125 hurdle off that mark at a sharpish track on better ground, and with Alastair Lidderdale fairly decent with his placing of horses, I'd be surprised if he was running here if they didn't think he had a chance.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also, ...

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

BBVA Compass Bowl preview

Just a few more College Bowl games to go to complete the season. Here's another preview by James Jack, @materialista27 . And a reminder that if any previews aren't posted here, you should be able to find them on his dedicated College Bowl site . --------------- BBVA Compass Bowl Saturday January 5th, 12:00 CST (18:00 GMT) Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Ole Miss Rebels The BBVA Compass Bowl was originally created as the Birmingham Bowl in 2006 and has also been sponsored by Papa John's Pizza in its short history. The Bowl initially had a tie-in with the Conference-USA but they decided to rip that up in 2008 and signed a deal with the Big East and the SEC. It currently matches the 6th team from the Big East with the 9th team from the SEC, however in recent years, it appears to have become the Pittsburgh Bowl as this will be their third straight appearance, splitting the last two with SMU. Should this game follow that trend, Pittsburgh ...